Ecole Normale Supérieure
CERES-ERTI
Centre d'Enseignement et de Recherches sur l'Environnement et la Société
Environmental Research and Teaching Institute
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Agenda CERES

Publications by members of CERES-ERTI

Most publications can be found at the personal pages of
In the news Modeling fires at the wildland-urban interface The summer of 2007 has seen a large number of forest fires in the United States and Europe. These fires arose in or spread to human habitats at the so-called wildland-urban interface. A simple fire-spread model, along with housing and vegetation data, shows that fire-size probability distributions can be strongly modified by the density and flammability of houses.

Spyratos, V., P. Bourgeron, and M. Ghil, 2007 Development at the wildland-urban interface and the mitigation of forest-fire risk. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 104: 14272-14276

In the news: | BBC | Science Daily | Digital Journal |

Selected publications

  • A. Groth, M. Ghil, S. Hallegatte and P. Dumas (2009)(PDF file) Quantitative description of U.S. business cycles using multivariate singular spectral analysis, Econometrica, submitted
  • Gérard Weisbuch, Vincent Buskens, Luat Vuong, Heterogeneity and Increasing Returns May Drive Socio-Economic Transitions
  • Claessen, D., A. de Vos and A.M. de Roos. (2009). Bioenergetics, overcompensation and the source/sink status of marine reserve. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic and Sciences
  • Ghil, M., I. Zaliapin, and B. Coluzzi (2008) (mirror in France, mirror in USA) Boolean delay equations: a simple way of looking at complex systems, Physica D, 237, 2967--2986, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2008.07.006,
  • M. Ghil, M.D. Chekroun, E. Simonnet (2008) Climate dynamics and fluid mechanics: Natural variability and related uncertainties, Physica D, Invited survey paper for Special Issue on The Euler Equations: 250 Years On, Physica D, 237, 2111--2126, doi:10.1016/j.physd.2008.03.036, available online.
  • Hallegatte, S., M. Ghil, P. Dumas, and J.-C. Hourcade, (2007): Business cycles, bifurcations and chaos in a neo-classical model with investment dynamics, J. Economic Behavior & Organization, 67, 57-77, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2007.05.001
  • Hallegatte, S., and M. Ghil, (2008): Natural disasters impacting a macroeconomic model with endogenous dynamics, Ecological Economics, 68, 582-592, doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.05.022
  • Roux J. (2006). Mathematical models in air quality problems, in Mathematical Models, edited by J. Filar and J.B. Krawczyk, in Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS). Developed under the auspices of the UNESCO, Eolss Publishers, Oxford, UK
  • Teaching material

  • J. Roux. 2002 Sur les méthodes numériques de résolution des équations modélisant la pollution (les méthodes de calcul de l'équation du transport) . Cours à l'Ecole Prédoctorale de Physique des Houches en 2002



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